SMA-03, MSCA v6, and EGDS form a unified decision science stack —
from risk measurement to option evaluation to temporal governance.
Framework 01
SMA-03 v3
Irreversibility Index · Lock-in Risk Measurement
Quantifies organizational lock‑in through the II‑Score (0–1 range),
five risk tiers, and temporal decay. Validated on 138 real‑world decisions
(89% accuracy, AUC=0.90). Integrates metaprogram R (reality assumption)
and crisis perception FD — together explaining 84% of lock‑in variance.
KEY FORMULA: E[V]_adjusted = E[V] / (1 + II²)
Framework 02
MSCA v6
Monte Carlo Scenario Analysis · Option Evaluation
Probabilistic option evaluation via Monte Carlo simulation,
variance‑penalized utility U(a) = E[R(a)] - 2·Var[R(a)],
and Pareto frontier optimization. Roadmap includes causal inference (DoWhy)
and Extreme Value Theory.
12 identified limitations → v7 roadmap defined
Framework 03
EGDS
Execution‑Gated Decision System · Temporal Governance
Structures decision implementation through checkpoints at Days 7, 30, 60, and 90.
An entropy gate (θmax = 1.2 nats) suppresses irreversible actions
when policy uncertainty exceeds the threshold. Extends reversibility windows by 150‑200%.
D7 · D30 · D60 · D90